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Business Strategy Risk Assessment of ExxonMobil

Project Type

Class Research Project under Dr. Laharish Guntuka

Role

Co-Author and Researcher

This report provides a comprehensive analysis of ExxonMobil's business strategy and risk assessment. The key focus areas include identifying and assessing risks related to operations, financial performance, regulatory compliance, and strategic challenges. The assessment explores how ExxonMobil manages the complexities of the energy industry, including environmental concerns, market volatility, and the transition toward renewable energy.

Corporate Profile
ExxonMobil is a global leader in the petrochemical and manufacturing industry, with a vast portfolio of products ranging from crude oil and natural gas to petrochemicals and specialty chemicals. The company's competitive positioning is bolstered by its significant global footprint, strong supply chain infrastructure, and well-established brands such as Exxon, Mobil, and Esso. Key competitors include Chevron, ConocoPhillips, and Royal Dutch Shell.

Risk Identification
The report identifies four primary types of risks:

Strategic Risks: These include the energy transition, competition, geopolitical instability, and challenges in replacing reserves. ExxonMobil faces threats from evolving global energy policies and increasing demand for renewable energy sources.
Operational Risks: Key risks here involve safety incidents, supply chain disruptions, technological challenges, and environmental concerns. Operational failures can result in severe production and distribution setbacks.
Financial Risks: These encompass fluctuations in oil prices, currency exchange rates, capital investments, and debt management.
Regulatory Risks: ExxonMobil faces extensive regulatory oversight regarding environmental and safety standards, taxation, trade regulations, and more.
Risk Assessment
The probability and severity of these risks are analyzed through a matrix, classifying them into catastrophic, critical, moderate, and low risks.

Catastrophic Risks: Include regulatory changes, natural disasters, and public health crises, all of which can have far-reaching impacts on ExxonMobil's global operations.
Critical Risks: Highlight the growing demand for renewable energy, dependence on key suppliers, and shifts in consumer preferences toward greener alternatives.
Moderate Risks: Cover trade laws, environmental regulations, compliance costs, and volatile interest rates.
Low Risks: Focus on maintaining operational efficiency, ensuring product safety, and managing market competition.
Risk Mitigation
ExxonMobil's approach to mitigating these risks involves several strategies:

Energy Transition: The company is investing in low-carbon technologies, including carbon capture and hydrogen, to meet its goal of reducing emissions to net zero by 2050.
Regulatory and Litigation Preparedness: Strengthened compliance frameworks and legal defenses help manage regulatory and legal risks.
Market Volatility Management: Integrated hedging strategies and flexible production rates help ExxonMobil mitigate the effects of fluctuating oil and gas prices.
Cybersecurity: The company has enhanced its cybersecurity posture with upgraded firewalls, real-time monitoring, and strong incident response plans.
Conclusion
ExxonMobil's risk profile is expected to remain volatile in the coming years, largely due to geopolitical tensions, regulatory changes, technological disruptions, and market dynamics. However, the company's robust risk management strategies, including supply chain resilience, regulatory compliance, and investments in low-carbon technologies, position it well to navigate the challenges of an increasingly uncertain business environment. Continuous improvement in agility, resilience, and technological adaptation will be critical for the company's future success.

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